You go too fast in attempting to bring proper peace to Venezuela you risk all out civil war. Likely strong armed elements of the current corrupt regime heading into the jungle, and bloodshed that gets dragged on for years. Oil infrastructure being blown up etc.
American troops then having to be on the ground, and it all gets very messy. Trump don't want that.
You only need to look at neighbouring Colombia. The world's longest running guerilla war between left wing FARC and the various Colombian Govts. They have tried to bring peace there, and got close recently (including millions & millions on trying to rehabilitate FARC fighters), but now parts of FARC have gone back into the Amazon to start fighting all over again.
That's all with leftist Pedro as President, and lots of concessions to FARC. Elections this year and if a right wing party gets in, it could go back to being full on war again. A Colombian peace agreement referendum in 2016, aiming to ratify the final agreement on the termination of the Colombian conflict between the Colombian government and the FARC guerillas. It failed, with 50.2% voting against it and 49.8% voting in favor. There are large polarising hard right & hard left elements in Colombian society that just want war. There are a number of hard right wing militias around, as brutal as FARC.
For sure there are elements in the current Caracas regime with close ties to FARC. Shared socialist ideologies, shared drug trafficking networks, hatred of the Americans. If there are some Maduro friendly militias or secret police, who want to kick off a civil war in Venezuela they will have great teachers with some FARC commanders.
Most expat Venezuelans just want to return home and have peace. Hug their kids and other family members they haven't seen for years. Family and a full belly over political ideology every time. Democracy can wait.
American troops then having to be on the ground, and it all gets very messy. Trump don't want that.
You only need to look at neighbouring Colombia. The world's longest running guerilla war between left wing FARC and the various Colombian Govts. They have tried to bring peace there, and got close recently (including millions & millions on trying to rehabilitate FARC fighters), but now parts of FARC have gone back into the Amazon to start fighting all over again.
That's all with leftist Pedro as President, and lots of concessions to FARC. Elections this year and if a right wing party gets in, it could go back to being full on war again. A Colombian peace agreement referendum in 2016, aiming to ratify the final agreement on the termination of the Colombian conflict between the Colombian government and the FARC guerillas. It failed, with 50.2% voting against it and 49.8% voting in favor. There are large polarising hard right & hard left elements in Colombian society that just want war. There are a number of hard right wing militias around, as brutal as FARC.
For sure there are elements in the current Caracas regime with close ties to FARC. Shared socialist ideologies, shared drug trafficking networks, hatred of the Americans. If there are some Maduro friendly militias or secret police, who want to kick off a civil war in Venezuela they will have great teachers with some FARC commanders.
Most expat Venezuelans just want to return home and have peace. Hug their kids and other family members they haven't seen for years. Family and a full belly over political ideology every time. Democracy can wait.