It'll be Argentina
Brazil will beat Chile
Eciuador and Argentina will draw (0-0) probably
Paraguay will beat Venezuela
Peru will beat Colombia
Uruguay will beat Bolivia
so Table finishes
1 Brazil 41pts
2 Uruguay 31pts
3 Peru 28pts
4 Paraguay 27pts
then Argentina, Chile & Colombia on 26 pts, Argentina have a +1 goal difference, Chile & Colombia both have +2 at the moment but this will go down, so I'm saying they will both lose by 2 and Argentina will finish 5th - simples
(I did of course only get 3 points at the weekends YFTipping!)
I'm with you on all that except.. Argentina will be 0-0 until the 98th minute when they're somehow awarded a penalty against a defender who looked at the ref in an abusive manner. Messi converts at the 4th attempt due to consistent encroaching or keeper moving & FIFA are delighted the "best player in the world" gets a chance at glory in their tournament. (therefore Paraguay 5th)