I hope I'm wrong; but I'm still seeing a Vucktree win, maybe a draw if we're lucky. The main reason for this is that Kevin Muscat is a thug and has trained a team of thugs. Our young guys aren't going to be able to cope with the physical stuff; we've given away too many yellows and silly fouls already, I would actually say it's more likely than not a Nix player will lash out and see red (perhaps Taylor, who is trolling Toivonen but seems far too cocky). So I'm more or less predicting we'll collapse under this kind of pressure; and the ref won't do jack to help.
As I say, hope I'm wrong. Rudan's done a great job on the physical aspect of our team; but the mental aspect will take far longer and a defeat here might wake our guys up a bit to the understanding that we have to be canny when it comes to thuggery.