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All Whites' Oceania/Asia Confederation Conundrum

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Posted June 27, 2024 05:50 · last edited June 27, 2024 11:15

Footy_Fella
As food for thought:

If NZ were in an AFC with say 9 direct qualiification slots, how many times out of 10 do we qualify for the WC?

50% maybe. For what little it is worth on the FIFA rankings there are currently 18 AFC teams ranked higher than the AWs at 107th.

Japan,  Iran, Korea Republic, Australia, Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Oman, Bahrain, China PR, Syria, Palestine, Thailand, Kyrgyz Republic & Tajikistan

I'd say yeah 6-8 of them are likely better than us, but the other 10-12 who knows. Problem is that AFC WC qualifying is a lot of travelling (Asia is big) - especially when you extend down here to the Pacific. Lots of games in the Middle East, coming up against teams that are more like well organised club sides, as their players are all based domestically and train together alot. So your 'on paper' matchups don't mean so much. Then you have other countries like Indonesia and Vietnam with lots of potential to improve.

Not easy as the stronger than NZ, Socceroos have found the last few times (had to qualify via playoffs). AFC then having 4.5 spots

https://inside.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/men


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Unknown editor edited June 27, 2024 11:15
Footy_Fella
As food for thought:

If NZ were in an AFC with say 9 direct qualiification slots, how many times out of 10 do we qualify for the WC?

50% maybe. For what little it is worth on the FIFA rankings there are currently 18 AFC teams ranked higher than the AWs at 107th.

Japan,  Iran, Korea Republic, Australia, Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Oman, Bahrain, China PR, Syria, Palestine, Thailand, Kyrgyz Republic & Tajikistan

I'd say yeah 6-8 of them are likely better than us, but the other 10-12 who knows. Problem is that AFC WC qualifying is a lot of travelling (Asia is big) - especially when you extend down here to the Pacific. Lots of games in the Middle East, coming up against teams that are more like well organised club sides, as their players are all based domestically and train together alot. So your 'on paper' matchups don't mean so much. Then you have other countries like Indonesia and Vietnam with lots of potential to improve.

Not easy as the stronger than NZ, Socceroos have found last few times (had to qualify via playoffs). AFC then having 4.5 spots

https://inside.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/men


Unknown editor edited June 27, 2024 05:50
Footy_Fella
As food for thought:

If NZ were in an AFC with say 9 direct qualiification slots, how many times out of 10 do we qualify for the WC?

50% maybe. For what little it is worth on the FIFA rtankings there are 18 AFC teams ranked higher than the AWs at 107th.

Japan,  Iran, Korea Republic, Australia, Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Oman, Bahrain, China PR, Syria, Palestine, Thailand, Kyrgyz Republic & Tajikistan

I'd say yeah 6-8 of them are likely better than us, but the other 10-12 who knows. Problem is that AFC WC qualifying is a lot of travelling (Asia is big) - especially when you extend down here to the Pacific. Lots of games in the Middle East, coming up against teams that are more like well organised club sides, as their players are all based domestically and train together alot. So your 'on paper' matchups don't mean so much. Then you have other countries like Indonesia and Vietnam with lots of potential to improve.

Not easy as the stronger than NZ, Socceroos have found last few times (had to qualify via playoffs). AFC then having 4.5 spots

https://inside.fifa.com/fifa-world-ranking/men