Vaccinations are very promising, but what is the path forward? Clouded the future is.
Gordon Campbell always checks things up. Here his 2 cents:
“Even at 90 % levels of vaccination, the trade-offs involved in “living with Covid in the community” won’t be tidy….Judging by the Doherty Institute modelling in Australia, the comparable death toll here would be staggering :
Gordon Campbell always checks things up. Here his 2 cents:
“Even at 90 % levels of vaccination, the trade-offs involved in “living with Covid in the community” won’t be tidy….Judging by the Doherty Institute modelling in Australia, the comparable death toll here would be staggering :
Assuming 80 per cent vaccination coverage for only those over 16, as per the National Plan, there could be approximately 25,000 fatalities [in Australia] and some 270,000 cases of long COVID.In contrast, and if children are also fully vaccinated, national fatalities – for all age groups – would be reduced to 19,000 with 80 per cent adult vaccination coverage. This would fall to 10,000 at a 90 per cent adult vaccination coverage.”
Adjusting for population size, that 90% vaccination scenario would suggest the price of unrestricted “living with Covid” would result in the deaths of around 2,000 New Zealanders, or an average of about 20 deaths per day over the three months of summer.”
It’s not been a trade off people have been interested in yet, probably because it hasn’t been put in those terms.
The week after the level drops to 2 and below in Auckland is going to be interesting.
I mean I’ve had 15 months of wearing a mask every time I leave the house. There would at least be a bit of that in the mix you’d think.
It’s not been a trade off people have been interested in yet, probably because it hasn’t been put in those terms.
The week after the level drops to 2 and below in Auckland is going to be interesting.
I mean I’ve had 15 months of wearing a mask every time I leave the house. There would at least be a bit of that in the mix you’d think.