according to cricinfo, tuffey got an injured hand and is out fora number of weeks, probaly securing southee a spot.
My line up:
MacIntosh
Watling
Cumming
Taylor
Guptil
Sinclair/Patel
McCullum
Vettori
Southee
Arnel
Martin
If the pitch looks like a turner, go for Patel, because only in the spin department can we match them (obviously not where in sinclairs place in the order). If not go for skippy