So given that information, get on the windies at $3.75 as it's effectively paying $1.75 too much. (Assuming it isn't a rain out)
Or if you don't trust the weather: windies draw no bet, as at $2.70 that's effectively paying 70cents too much.
Tim Southee as nz first innings top run scorer @ $10 is a decent outside chance too if we bat first. Batting collapse, southee comes out and slogs a quick 30.