Jeff you sort of lost your cricket credibility when you were making a solid case for England getting 450 in the fourth innings
I love this kind of thing though.
If they all played to their averages what would they make?
They'd done it to us once already, you have to admit you were immensely, immensely happy to see the wickets tumble after Auckland and Lords?
What? Chase down 450 in the fourth innings? No they haven't.
Surprised us by batting extraordinarily well in their second innings- 478
and yes, I know Jeff's hypothetical is crazy
But these stats are damn interesting:
https://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/stats/inde...
They support the idea Jeff's hypothetical is super crazy. England has one score over 400 in the 4th innings in its history and the next best is 370. In fact in their second innings they have only scored over 300 a handful of times in the 4th innings.
However, it shows that just in the previous test they had scored one of their best second innings scores ever, which ultimately took them from a very long shot to a won test. So evidence both ways.