Post history

History for Ryan54

2015/16 Transfer Speculation

Back to topic

Current version

Posted January 04, 2016 09:48 · last edited January 04, 2016 10:15

Feverish wrote:

Ryan54 wrote:

Jeff Vader wrote:

Ryan54 wrote:

I wouldn't be adverse to giving Fenton some time in midfield this season.

and which one of Riera, Roly, A-Rod, Lia and McGlinchey would that be at the expense of?

I wouldn't. He is a winger thats been converted to FB. What now makes him a midfielder?

You can only pick two of A-Rod, Riera and Lia. McGlinchey has been relatively poor for us. McGlinchey got 25 assists in 3 seasons at CCM - since coming here he only has 6 in a season and a half. That just isn't good enough output. I would be offering McGlinchey a significantly reduced contract when it comes up for renewal. 

If I was picking Fenton, I would clearly be picking him as a winger. I don't think I would do it but as I said at this point we have nothing to lose. The season is over so we need to spend the rest of it working out who we can retain for next season.

Not sure you have thought this through properly lad

I missed this at the time. It is perhaps a bit of exaggeration to say our season is over. My point is that we are simply now going to win the a-league this season. We are not at $23.00 to win the league according to sportsbet.com.au. The season is effectively over as a competition for us.  

There are some people on this forum who will ride the highs and lows of the remaining half of the season. They will celebrate the wins which will surely come and show angst when we lose. My question is, to what purpose? Some people think our goal now should be to sneak into the top 6. The problem with that is that coming 6th gets you nowhere. History of the league tells us that in every season only teams who finished 3rd or higher have made the final.  The only teams to do so were CCM in 05/06 and Perth in 11/12. Both teams lost the final. All that coming 6th gets you is 3 away games against teams who have been better than you for 27 rounds already. 

The team should not be aiming for the top 6. We should be aiming to qualify for the grand final. To qualify for the grand final we probably need to finish 1st or 2nd in the regular season. Given that we are now 12 points off of 2nd there is a very low probability of us making it to the final. 

Therefore given we have a statistically low chance of making it to the final this season, the best course of action would be to take steps to ensure we make the final next season. Part of that involves resolving long term positional problems (wing back), cutting adrift dead wood and assessing whether or not young players are up to it. If we can achieve any of those 3 goals and come 9th then it will be a better season than achieving none of those goals, coming 6th and being in an absolutely horrible position for the next season.

Previous versions

1 version
Ryan54 edited January 04, 2016 10:15
Feverish wrote:
Ryan54 wrote:
Jeff Vader wrote:
Ryan54 wrote:

I wouldn't be adverse to giving Fenton some time in midfield this season.

and which one of Riera, Roly, A-Rod, Lia and McGlinchey would that be at the expense of?

I wouldn't. He is a winger thats been converted to FB. What now makes him a midfielder?

You can only pick two of A-Rod, Riera and Lia. McGlinchey has been relatively poor for us. McGlinchey got 25 assists in 3 seasons at CCM - since coming here he only has 6 in a season and a half. That just isn't good enough output. I would be offering McGlinchey a significantly reduced contract when it comes up for renewal. 

If I was picking Fenton, I would clearly be picking him as a winger. I don't think I would do it but as I said at this point we have nothing to lose. The season is over so we need to spend the rest of it working out who we can retain for next season.

Not sure you have thought this through properly lad

I missed this at the time. It is perhaps a bit of exaggeration to say our season is over. My point is that we are simply not going to win the a-league this season. We are not at $23.00 to win the league according to sportsbet.com.au. The season is effectively over as a competition for us.  

There are some people on this forum who will ride the highs and lows of the remaining half of the season. They will celebrate the wins which will surely come and show angst when we lose. My question is, to what purpose? Some people think our goal now should be to sneak into the top 6. The problem with that is that coming 6th gets you nowhere. History of the league tells us that in every season only teams who finished 3rd or higher have made the final.  The only teams to do so were CCM in 05/06 and Perth in 11/12. Both teams lost the final. All that coming 6th gets you is 3 away games against teams who have been better than you for 27 rounds already. 

The team should not be aiming for the top 6. We should be aiming to qualify for the grand final. To qualify for the grand final we probably need to finish 1st or 2nd in the regular season. Given that we are now 12 points off of 2nd there is a very low probability of us making it to the final. 

Therefore given we have a statistically low chance of making it to the final this season, the best course of action would be to take steps to ensure we make the final next season. Part of that involves resolving long term positional problems (wing back), cutting adrift dead wood and assessing whether or not young players are up to it. If we can achieve any of those 3 goals and come 9th then it will be a better season than achieving none of those goals, coming 6th and being in an absolutely horrible position for the next season.