Win all four games and there's a 95% chance we make the playoffs. Win three and draw one, and that drops to 55%. Anything less than that and the odds become miniscule.
Of the 4 games remaining, winning away against Manchester Melbourne City should be enough to give us a Serious Contender title.
No point being a serious contender by beating Melb City if we lose our other three games though...
Our Achilles heel is consistency. If were consistent then winning against MCY away means the other games should be in the bag (MCY is the team hardest to beat in our remaining games). I see them as pacesetters with no other distractions.