If we were to win all our games I would say we would make it.
Let's see. We're playing: Adelaide (h), Sydney (a), Perth (h), Melb. City (a), Melb. Victory (a), WSW (h).
That is a maximum of 18 points. If we win all of them, we will have 40 points (we have 22 now).
We would need to win two more games than the Jets, and three more games than Perth, Victory or Sydney FC, to get to 6th place.
So the Jets need to lose four games from now on, and 1) Perth, and 2) either Victory or Syd FC need to lose three games from now on. While it is possible mathematically, the chances are so low that I would rather sit back and enjoy our remaining games with "nothing to lose" rather than expecting miracles.
Interestingly this would've been ridiculously close.
If we'd won them all we'd currently be 6th equal with Victory going into the last game each, with them playing Roar at home and us playing WSW at home - but M.City wouldn't be catch-able in 5th due to superior goal difference.
I'm surprised, I thought it would be more assured than that - Patrick's simulations suggested as much too.
I did factor that in...
Surprised you didn't check the math yourself before making that accusation - give me some credit eh!