with Auckland only have 9 new cases today I'd be expecting level 2 announcement by Oct 4 and hopefully level 1 within a week or so afterwards. Whole country could be level 1 by 18 October. Bubble back up and running by November for vaxed Aussies?
Getting Vaxed is great and all, but from a bubble with Aussie perspective I don't see how it helps much. If I understand correctly (and correct me if I'm wrong) Delta is still very contagious even for vaccinated people, what the vaccine mostly does is make it's effects MUCH less likely to be severe/fatal when you do get it, rather than meaning you aren't going to catch it.
So if we have very low case numbers, letting in Australians with higher case numbers (assuming that stays the same) isn't a good idea, even if the people coming are vaccinated.
Basically you are wrong. Go and do some reading on effectiveness of the vaccines in stopping transmission.
And if Aussie gets 90% if it’s age 12 plus popn double vaccinated, in conjunction with mask wearing and other continuing restrictions etc they stand a reasonable chance of reducing the current case numbers. Even once lockdowns end. That optimistic view improves further if vaccinations for kids younger than 12 become available