All Whites, Ferns, and other international teams

Who will NZ play-off against to go to SA2010??

86 replies · 10,051 views
over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
We'll get our first impressions of them all over the next few days...
 

07/09/08 06:30

Bahrain

Japan

07/09/08 07:00

Qatar

Uzbekistan

07/09/08 07:15

Saudi Arabia

Iran

07/09/08 06:15

United Arab Emirates

Korea DPR

11/09/08 00:00

Korea DPR

Korea Republic

11/09/08 03:30

Uzbekistan

Australia

11/09/08 07:00

Qatar

Bahrain

11/09/08 06:15

United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia



Some results through from overnight.....

Bahrain          : 2
Japan            : 3

Saudi Arabia  : 1
Iran               : 1

U.A.E            : 1
North Korea  : 2


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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Well, firstly, the first game will be here and second away. Draw is done and that's the way it is. Not good for AWs.
As for the games from yestarday, my source says Japan was impressive (but got lazy and conceded 2 goals in last 5 minutes), should easily finish in the top 2 in that group. In the other game in that group (which also features Australia), Qatar beat Uzbekistan 3-0.
Whoever we get, it's gonna be very, very difficult to knock them out.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
tigers wrote:
South Korea would be daunting - even without the Guus effect
 
 
 


but they have been playing sh*te..which is why their ranking has been dropping...


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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Here are comparisons between FIFA rankings, and other systems which are probably more accurate.  New Caledonia is included for reference.  Aggregate includes 8 different systems including the ones I have provided.
 

GROUP 1      FIFA      Elo       AQB       Aggregate

Japan           35         24        28         22

Australia       39         37         43         40

Uzbekistan    59         62         66         59

Bahrain        66         74          49         60

Qatar           81         76         79         70

 

GROUP 2

Iran               46        21         22         29

Saudi Arabia   48        42         35         37

South Korea   51        44         45         47

UAE               109      105       106        114?

North Korea   116       66         90         81

 

New Zealand   111      57         63         94

New Caledonia  95     115         81


FIFA rankings as at 3 September 2008
http://www.fifa.com/worldfootball/ranking/lastranking/gender=m/fullranking.html#confederation=0&rank=173&page=2


Elo rankings as at 8 September 2008

http://www.eloratings.net/world.html


AQB rankings as at 27 August 2008

http://www.image.co.nz/aqb/soccer_ratings.html


Aggregate Rankings 8 September 2008 (in German, New Caledonia are not there, UAE are out of the numbers)

http://www.realhomepage.de/members/duff/Aggr_Ranking_8_9_08.html

Bones2008-09-10 12:42:37
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

I would think that the only teams you could write off from qualification are Bahrain and the UAE. Qatar were impressive against the Uzbeks, with a "World XI", that contains very few from Qatar. North Korea is very capable of upsetting some more fancied sides, especially at home.

In my (very) humble opinion, Japan, Australia (narrowly), Iran and the Saudi's will be automatic qualifiers. I see Qatar and South Korea playing for 5th, and the Koreans probably taking on the AW's.

Not an easy task, but not impossible either, as long as some quality opposition is found for lead up matches. I would think teams like Australia, Japan, Iran or China could provide this.

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I think playing Korea would be easier than Iran or Saudi Arabia - not sure how our lads would go in that sort of atmosphere. Tehran musn't be too fun for away teams. The Korean boys are tricky, but hopefully we can defend well, kick the crap out of them and get a good result here.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Coogee Boy wrote:

In my (very) humble opinion, Japan, Australia (narrowly), Iran and the Saudi's will be automatic qualifiers. I see Qatar and South Korea playing for 5th, and the Koreans probably taking on the AW's.


Not an easy task, but not impossible either, as long as some quality opposition is found for lead up matches. I would think teams like Australia, Japan, Iran or China could provide this.

Indeed. I'd prefer that Qatar got through, only to be beaten by the AW's... take that Jorge Fossati and your team of travelling Uruguayans.

Australia narrowly... we'll see. I reiterate, you better hope we don't come 5th

When is the Confeds Cup? That will be some quality opposition for the Aw's. It'd be great if NZ could play home and away friendlies against us.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
North Korea would be great because they don't play their home games at home.  In their last match they only had 500 or so there (the game was played in China)

Normo's coming home

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
With all due respect, I watched all the Asian World Cup games and the the AW's won't even get close with the fifth placed team.

If you are old and wise you were probably young and stupid

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Leggy wrote:
With all due respect, I watched all the Asian World Cup games and the the AW's won't even get close with the fifth placed team.
I agree with what i have seen of the AW's so far they have no chance.
The 5th place Asian team will have had 3 chances to qualify directly before entering the playoff with the AW's for a 4th shot at it, So they will be a very well drilled unit - unlike the AW's..
 
 
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Of course the asian team is the favourite, but plenty of favourites have been knocked over.  No surprise there

Normo's coming home

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Buffon II wrote:

tigers wrote:
agree with the idea that we a fans don't bow down and die before we take the park,
�

even over two legs a football encounter is a series of events which are impossible to predict/guarantee in advance

�

(otherwise, why would the fans of the bookies less favoured team ever bother to turn up?)

�
Exactly. Rankings should be ignored too, we all know the FIFA Rankings system is bollocks i mean New Caledonia are ahead of us ffs. So regardless of whether we're playing a team 10 or 50 places above us they'll all be as tough as each other.I still believe.


Right on Bro!
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
james dean wrote:
North Korea would be great because they don't play their home games at home.� In their last match they only had 500 or so there (the game was played in China)


I thought that game was in China because they were playing the other Korea?
I think they play all their other games at home, but I think they refuse to let the South Koreans into North Korea. My understanding of the situation anyway.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

Re-live the moments of AUssie qualifying for Germany 2006.

Just think it will be NZ's turn next year. I will be singing my heart out.

I say tackle him in the face.

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
el grapadura wrote:
james dean wrote:
North Korea would be great because they don't play their home games at home.  In their last match they only had 500 or so there (the game was played in China)


I thought that game was in China because they were playing the other Korea?
I think they play all their other games at home, but I think they refuse to let the South Koreans into North Korea. My understanding of the situation anyway.
 
Spot on.  North Korea refuse to fly South Korea's flag or play their anthem in North Korea. Made it quite tricky, so switched the home match to China.  And then to make sure the stadium was not full of South Koreans (quite possibly a tad few more Southerners on tour or living abroad) they hiked up the prices of their "home" game to keep them out.
 
The old axis of evil eh? 
 
I'd personally love an away day in Pyongyang.  Just imagine the chants we could do!

I know, I know, its serious!

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Turfmoore wrote:
 I'd personally love an away day in Pyongyang.  Just imagine the chants we could do!


Oh Kim Jong Il
Is full of sh*te....

Three for me, and two for them.

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Buffon II wrote:
Turfmoore wrote:
 I'd personally love an away day in Pyongyang.  Just imagine the chants we could do!


Oh Kim Jong Il
Is full of sh*te....
 
Same old Kim Jong, always cheating
 
Followed quickly by "all Whites til we die, allwhi ..... aaaarrrrgh"

I know, I know, its serious!

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Santy

Great youtube link. Hope NZ can make a similar one in 2009 or maybe like below.

IMO the best youtube made was "Reverse the Curse" if you are an Aussie and have followed football tho its highs and many many many lows this is a gut wrenching clip.

The background is a witch doctor put a curse on the Australian team after they failed to pay him. Prior to playing Uruguay some people a new witch doctor to reverse the curse. But people always talked about the curse.

Johnny Warren is Australian Footballs spiritual leader. He fought for football for years and it was he who got Frank Lowy back in football, talked FL into going into Asia, got a football crowd at the Uruguay match when at prior matches it was union / AFL / cricket people there. He did this by having anyone that played or coached or managed football given three weeks to tickets.Sadly he dided of cancer prior to our making the 2005 WC.


Sorry I have waffled on a bit ....... to the youtube

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EUIP6STNxSA

Socceroo/ Mariner / Whangarei

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Nice video. I noticed that he forgot the defeat to NZ in the 1981 qualifying rounds. Must be a unspoken curse that one. You know a bit to hard to take blow. Anyway here's hoping both Aus and NZ reaching SA 2010.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Turfmoore wrote:
Buffon II wrote:
Turfmoore wrote:

�I'd personally love an away day in Pyongyang.� Just imagine the chants we could do!
Oh Kim Jong IlIs full of sh*te....

�

Same old Kim Jong, always cheating

�

Followed quickly by "all Whites til we die, allwhi ..... aaaarrrrgh"


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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Where are Australia in their group currently? Any chance of coming 3rd, and beating the other 3rd place team in Asia's other group?
 
Home and away against Australia for a place in the World Cup would be epic. Sold out Ring of Fire. Local Premier League and Phoenix heroes combine. Same old aussies always cheating. Smeltsy on form. Arrogant aussies talking sh*t in the stadium.
 
That would be epic
 
Oh Wellington is wonderful. We got the wind, the rain and the phoenix. Oh Wellington is wonderful.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Australia have only played one match, so it's a little hard to tell where the group will go.

How's my driving? - Whine here

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
OK, so that would be an away win in uzbekistan?
 
That also means that whoever we do face will have played plenty of competitive pressure football between now and then. It seems odd that we've already qualified and it seems they're only just starting.
Oh Wellington is wonderful. We got the wind, the rain and the phoenix. Oh Wellington is wonderful.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
They've been going for a few months, it's only that the final groups have just started now.
Obviously, AFC is a much bigger confederation than OFC, so it takes them longer to complete their qualifying process as well.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Asian qualifying started in October last year which was only a month after Oceania qualifying started, they're currently up to the fourth round and Australia have already played seven games overall.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
OK makes sense them being a confederation with more nations. It means they will be much better prepared and organised though, having played much better opposition on many more occasions, let alone being better players in the first place.
 
So hopefully we can secure some big friendlies before the big playoff
Oh Wellington is wonderful. We got the wind, the rain and the phoenix. Oh Wellington is wonderful.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Yes, that's just one of the reasons why we'll be big underdogs in the playoff.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
el grapadura wrote:
james dean wrote:
North Korea would be great because they don't play their home games at home.  In their last match they only had 500 or so there (the game was played in China)


I thought that game was in China because they were playing the other Korea?
I think they play all their other games at home, but I think they refuse to let the South Koreans into North Korea. My understanding of the situation anyway.
 
I have a database of all WC matches ever played, which has been validated against FIFA and RSSSF records and I think is accurate. Reviewing that, I think El Grap is right, but the Asian format often uses neutral venues or gives hosting rights to one of the group (something that always seems a tad unfair to me).
 
Summary:
 
2006: North Korea played 12 matches, 5 at home (Pyongyang) 1 neutral (Bangkok against Japan)
 
2002 & 1998 did not enter
 
1994: no home matches - but the first round group was co-hosted by Qatar and Singapore and their second round group was hosted by Qatar, so lots of teams had no home matches.
 
1990: played 11 matches, 3 at home (Pyongyang) in first round, second round group was hosted by Singapore
 
1986: played 4 matches, 2 at home (Pyongyang and Nampo), no neutral matches
 
1982: played 5 matches, none at home, all groups that they competed in were hosted by Hong Kong
 
1978: withdrew without playing
 
1974: played 6 matches, none at home as group was hosted by Iran
 
1966: played only 2 qualifiers, both against Australia and both matches took place in Cambodia
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

In money terms I am not sure if this is possible,��.. but nations that would help prepare you are Iraq,  China, Indonesia, Singapore,   Malaysia, ��.. all these countries want experience playing against Australian type teams (i.e. size speed read physical) and I am sure would be happy to play you in a friendly  in preparation for the Asian Cup. So could Japan who are playing us late in the qualifiers.

These matches are all potentially bigger than any match the All Blacks could play in terms of tourists to NZ and would be played aside from Iraq in similar time zones to NZ, ��.. not sure if NZ gov would put any funding behind a series of games against Asian countries, would be huge but.

Midfielder2008-10-04 23:11:32

Socceroo/ Mariner / Whangarei

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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
convict wrote:
Leggy wrote:
With all due respect, I watched all the Asian World Cup games and the the AW's won't even get close with the fifth placed team.

I agree with what i have seen of the AW's so far they have no chance.

The 5th place Asian team will have had 3 chances to qualify directly before entering the playoff with�the AW's�for a 4th shot at it, So they will be a very well drilled unit -�unlike the AW's..

�

�


Hopefully NZF can take advantage of the latest rankings to organise friendlies against some decent opposition in the next 10 months or so. There will be plenty of Asian teams with no competitive fixtures each Fifa window. I know that NZF is having financial difficulties, but without preparation against better qualty teams than Fiji and New Caledonia, the AWs are going to be well out of their depth.


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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
In way of opposition, would it be wise to play friendlys against (weak)Asian teams or play against some Sth American  or African teams?.  The recently-appointed Dominique Bathenay - coach of the United Arab Emirates has said "New Zealand is by far the easyer road to the world cup, so we are focus on that". after UAE lost a pair of World Cup qualifiers at home.convict2008-10-11 04:34:46
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
convict wrote:
In way of opposition, would it be wise to play friendlys against (weak)Asian teams or play against some Sth American� or African teams?.� The recently-appointed Dominique Bathenay - coach of the�United Arab Emirates has said "New Zealand is by far the easyer road to the world cup, so we are focus on that". after UAE lost a pair of World Cup qualifiers at home.


Getting South American opposition in FIFA windows is pretty much impossible.

It'd be interesting to see if we could get a game against Senegal or Angola (both knocked out of African qualifying), but I suspect the costs for organising something like that would be pretty high, and the most realistic option would be to organise friendly games against Asian opposition.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
el grapadura wrote:
convict wrote:
In way of opposition, would it be wise to play friendlys against (weak)Asian teams or play against some Sth American  or African teams?.  The recently-appointed Dominique Bathenay - coach of the United Arab Emirates has said "New Zealand is by far the easyer road to the world cup, so we are focus on that". after UAE lost a pair of World Cup qualifiers at home.


Getting South American opposition in FIFA windows is pretty much impossible.

It'd be interesting to see if we could get a game against Senegal or Angola (both knocked out of African qualifying), but I suspect the costs for organising something like that would be pretty high, and the most realistic option would be to organise friendly games against Asian opposition.

Also the most useful to get used to their style of play and conditions, look at playing African teams after we beat the 5th placed Asian side
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

The top 5 asian teams play a diffrent style to the rest.

Australia play a euro/dutch stlye why,ll Iran play to a simular euro stlye but more direct.
Japan tend to copy the stlye of italy .
One would think the AW's have a stlye under Rickie but Nooooo its back to longball and hope for the best. Maybe the AW's should get a Aussie coach?
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
You mean like the Australians do?
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Pim's just an aussie bastard.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
We need to drag a couple of teams out here to play us.  Maybe mid-table Asian teams would be keen (think Malaysia in 2006) or perhaps some of the lower European teams like Estonia, Lithuania or Belarus.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
On that subject, the teams available (i.e. are not playing on either match day) from Europe in the late-March window are: Finland, Azerbaijan, Faroe Islands and Norway.
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over 17 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Asian sides may come here, I suspect European sides would have to be played in Europe, either as NZ home games in the UK or away matches.  Nations are loath to send players to the other side of the world in mid-season unless there is a serious financial under-writing and we aren't likely to see that.

How's my driving? - Whine here

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