Odds on? Still 6 games to go and they still have to play Halswell so it's still anyone's game. Goal difference is pretty close too, I wonder if it could come down to that like it has before. Or worse, how Nomads were even on points and goal difference in last place and got relegated as it then came down to goals scored!
Yes the relegation battle is likely to only be decided in the last few rounds, with the bottom four sides still to play each other- last six games in order for each side are:
Universities: Bays (A), Technical (A), Western (A), ChCh United (A), Coastal (H) and Halswell (H)
Western: Halswell (H), ChCh United (A),Universities (H), Bays (H), Tech (A) and Suburbs (A)
Halswell: Western (A), Coastal (A), ChCh United (H), Suburbs (H), Bays (A) and Universities (A)
ChCh United: Technical (A), Western (H), Halswell (A), Universities (H), Suburbs (A) and Coastal (A).
So if Halswell and United both picked up points over Western, Western could get dragged into the battle to avoid the drop.
Interestingly all four sides have picked up more points on the road this season than at home.
In the last six rounds Halswell have picked up 5 points, Universities 4 and both Western and United 3 each.
I still think United are odds on to face the drop as they are really struggling to find the back of the net in recent weeks - also appear to have a few issues off the park as well.
They have not scored in their last five games (which is the same for Western).
The Rams have only scored in six of the MPL games to date - all single strikes. The Hawks have also only scored in 6 games (but have nearly twice as many goals as United - 11), Western 7 (12 goals) with Universities only failing to score three times (22 goals), with all four as you would expect not having too many clean sheets - ChCh United, Halswell and Universities only twice each with Western going just 1 better.