Think the Mcarthur game illustrates the problem with xG. Macarthur had 3x the shots that the Phoenix did, and had an xG double the Phoenix. But, despite having a third of the shots of Macarthur, the Phoenix had almost double the shots on target.
Macarther were attempting screamers and most of them ended up in the stands, but the shear amount of shots meant their xG was higher even though the Phoenix had way more good chances.
Macarther were attempting screamers and most of them ended up in the stands, but the shear amount of shots meant their xG was higher even though the Phoenix had way more good chances.