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A League title tracker: Come on Phoenix!

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Posted March 07, 2024 09:49 · last edited March 07, 2024 10:26

IMG_3145.jpeg 108.75 KB
IMG_3144.jpeg 107 KB
IMG_3143.jpeg 44.04 KB
I wanted to understand how many points the Phoenix might need to win the league this year. 

My prior was that there would be a relationship between how spread out the final points table was, and the number of points the league winners had each season. 

I did two basic linear regressions:
1) Standard Deviation of the Top 6 points per game (PPG) on the Premiers PPG (one data point per season) 
2) standard deviation of the full league  PPG on the premiers PPG 

Used PPG as the number of teams/games per season varied since 2005. 

The conclusion, the Phoenix might need about 53 points to win the league.



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Unknown editor edited March 07, 2024 10:26
IMG_3145.jpeg 108.75 KB
IMG_3144.jpeg 107 KB
IMG_3143.jpeg 44.04 KB
I wanted to understand how many points the Phoenix might need to win the league this year. 

My prior was that there would be a relationship between the variance between teams final points tally, and the number of points the league winners had each season. 

I did two basic linear regressions:
1) Standard Deviation of the Top 6 points per game (PPG) on the Premiers PPG (one data point per season) 
2) standard deviation of the full league  PPG on the premiers PPG 

Used PPG as the number of teams/games per season varied since 2005. 

The conclusion, the Phoenix might need about 53 points to win the league.