Third point isn't correct. More than likely you'll get in the zone. Just a question of where.
It's still left to chance a bit though. Plus those renewing who don't know silver is feverzone may end up buying bronze. Which is a bit odd. Hoping they can add an official fever zone like we do usually with nix games, before public sales. And perhaps give members the option to move into fever zone if they have bought extra silver tickets and ended up outside of fever zone by bad luck.