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Transfer Talk - 2018/19 Season

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Posted July 29, 2018 23:09 · last edited July 29, 2018 23:09

Mainland FC wrote:

HZA wrote:

Yeah, a good return from Nathan will be much needed (by him,as well as us) and in combination with our other guns will hopefully be the catalyst for the season we are all wishing for.  Loving the footy

COYN

It comes to show how much we appreciate his good season with us (before FC Tokyo) that we still believe in Burns despite the last season, where he not only did not score but also produced some very questionable passes. Rudan may need to have backup options in case Burns does not fire this year.

This is a very good point, and another reason why Rudan really should be looking to bring in another proven goal-scorer. Our perception of Burns is heavily influenced by his one full season with us, when he was probably the best player in the league for a good chunk of that season. And Burns still is a very good player at this level, and should have plenty to offer next season. 

However, his 13 goals for us that season is a huge statistical outlier in terms of his overall career performance. His next best, over the course of a season, is 8 goals in 31 games for Kerkyra in Greek second tier in 2009/2010, and third best is 6 goals for Adelaide in his first ever A-league season. The rest don't even bear a mention. To look at it another way, Burns has scored 42 goals in his club career (including 3 goals scored in the old pre-season cup). This basically means that Burns scored close to a third of all his club career goals in that one season with us, and we're talking about someone who's been a professional footballer since 2006.

I'm not saying this to have a go at Burns, but rather to point out that historically (and recently - he's only scored 4 club goals since leaving us in 2015), he's not been a great goal-scorer, so expecting him to perform close to a level he did for us the first time around is pretty unrealistic, especially now that he has hit 30. 

I still expect Burns to be a significant contributor this coming season, but if we're to have a realistic top 4 aspiration, we definitely need more goal-scoring help.

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Unknown editor edited July 29, 2018 23:09
Mainland FC wrote:
HZA wrote:

Yeah, a good return from Nathan will be much needed (by him,as well as us) and in combination with our other guns will hopefully be the catalyst for the season we are all wishing for.  Loving the footy

COYN

It comes to show how much we appreciate his good season with us (before FC Tokyo) that we still believe in Burns despite the last season, where he not only did not score but also produced some very questionable passes. Rudan may need to have backup options in case Burns does not fire this year.

This is a very good point, and another reason why Rudan really should be looking to bring in another proven goal-scorer. Our perception of Burns is heavily influenced by his one full season with us, when he was probably the best player in the league for a good chunk of that season. And Burns still is a very good player at this level, and should have plenty to offer next season. 

However, his 13 goals for us that season is a huge statistical outlier in terms of his performance. His next best, over the course of a season, is 8 goals in 31 games for Kerkyra in Greek second tier in 2009/2010, and third best is 6 goals for Adelaide in his first ever A-league season. The rest don't even bear a mention. To look at it another way, Burns has scored 42 goals in his club career (including 3 goals scored in the old pre-season cup). This basically means that Burns scored close to a third of all his club career goals in that one season with us, and we're talking about someone who's been a professional footballer since 2006.

I'm not saying this to have a go at Burns, but rather to point out that historically (and recently - he's only scored 4 club goals since leaving us in 2015), he's not been a great goal-scorer, so expecting him to perform close to a level he did for us the first time around is pretty unrealistic, especially now that he has hit 30. 

I still expect Burns to be a significant contributor this coming season, but if we're to have a realistic top 4 aspiration, we definitely need more goal-scoring help.