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Budget 2008

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Budget 2008
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
What do you think about it? I'm impressed with the tax cuts and the general plan outset by it. It gives some immediate relief and also further cuts scheduled for when the economy is set to start growing again. Sensible spending and no rash decisions. I think John Key is all talk and so far little policy to back up what he is saying. His tax cuts seem to benefit the rich the most which contradicts his criticism of Labour not giving enough relief to low income families. 
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Agree with you that Key has been little more than promises and little policy - thus far when challenged on policy he goes a little quiet too. But this budget, whilst it helps a little doesn't inspire me to rush to the polss and vote Labour!!! Ultimately the extra $$ in the pocket per week will be going on fuel!

Queenslander 3x a year.

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
The main thing is John Key can't offer much more without putting the country into deficit. Tax cuts seem to be his only talking point, and many of the things in his rebuttal he talked about eg giving high speed internet to the country had already been outlined in labours budget! What he said about us all being better off under him just doesn't seem so true anymore.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
yeah - he hasn't really got a lot to fight with anymore - his arguement that Labour is costing us all doesn't wash. simply fact is that world economics is screwing us over!

Queenslander 3x a year.

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I'm impressed WillyB.  For someone young, you make a lot more sense than people twice or three times your age.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Cheers. One thing someone noted this morning on the radio was that one of the families that the news featured complaining about not having enough money for basic necessities had one of the latest model flat screen tv's in their living room! 
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
WillyB wrote:
Cheers. One thing someone noted this morning on the radio was that one of the families that the news featured complaining about not having enough money for basic necessities had one of the latest model flat screen tv's in their living room! 
 
You listen to the Rock as well They also had a massive home theatre system as well.
You're probably the only person I've heard say something postive about the budget but I agree with you totally. My last payrise wasn't much more than the proposed $32 extra a fortnight and I had to work bloody hard to get it. To get given that for doing nothing is great.
How much did people expect to get? $100 a week? Get real.
I would have been happy not to get a tax cut but as long as the government did something worthwhile with the surplus instead of wasting it like spending 32 million on the Americas Cup.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

I think most people demanding huge tax cuts don't under how the economy works. 

In an ideal world people generally want:

Low taxes

low inflation

economic growth

increase spending on service (health education etc).

low interest rates

 

Unfortunately it is impossible to achieve all goals.  It is a balancing act.

 

EG. Lower taxes = more econ growth, higher inflation, decrease govt spending, high interest rates. 

 

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
we are a low wage economy and have been for some yyears. The expectation of large tax cuts were never going to happen. Quite often I have trouble differentiating between National and Labour as they seem to be very close on so many issues.
 
This year is going to be the hardest to choose for a long time. Who to vote for? In the meanwhile does anyone have "Spicers" phone number? I havve $16 a week to find a way of investing, after I pay for the rip off petrol price, electricity price etc
Proud to have attended the first 175 Consecutive "Home" Wellington Phoenix "A League" Games !!

The Ruf, The Ruf, The Ruf is on Fire!!

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Speicers? Na go to hanover group.  If its good enough for richard long its good enough for everyone.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
it was an interesting budget. to be fair it was all cullen could do and not be playing hari kari with the economy. politically i doubt it will be enough.
john key is having trouble at the moment, a lot of the right wing blogs are already calling the nats labour lite and i have to agree at the moment. his tax cut cant be pure politics which a big one will be. he needs some real plicy and he needs it quickly because at the moment im not sure what it is he stands for apart from a new government.
personallly im happy i can borrow 5$ more a week to live as a student, still covers bugger all as i get 150 a week and have to put 137 of that to rent. student payments should be adjusted to where you live, much more expensive to live in welly than in dunners or palmy.
 

www.kiwifromthecouch.blogspot.com

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
All true. Bloody hell, I think we need the Yellow Fever party in government!
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
bopman wrote:
it was an interesting budget. to be fair it was all cullen could do and not be playing hari kari with the economy. politically i doubt it will be enough.
john key is having trouble at the moment, a lot of the right wing blogs are already calling the nats labour lite and i have to agree at the moment. his tax cut cant be pure politics which a big one will be. he needs some real plicy and he needs it quickly because at the moment im not sure what it is he stands for apart from a new government.
personallly im happy i can borrow 5$ more a week to live as a student, still covers bugger all as i get 150 a week and have to put 137 of that to rent. student payments should be adjusted to where you live, much more expensive to live in welly than in dunners or palmy.
 


harden up - the $13 left over gets you a bottle of Kristov
I like tautologies because I like them.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I'm not worried. Not even sure if my income's taxed...
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You need to lay low, find a safehouse for a while. You're probably wanted for tax evasion...
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
2ndBest wrote:

I think most people demanding huge tax cuts don't under how the economy works. 

In an ideal world people generally want:

Low taxes

low inflation

economic growth

increase spending on service (health education etc).

low interest rates

 

Unfortunately it is impossible to achieve all goals.  It is a balancing act.

 

EG. Lower taxes = more econ growth, higher inflation, decrease govt spending, high interest rates. 

 



Admittedly "huge" tax cuts will never be a good idea, everything in moderation etc. But I get the feeling that you subscribe to the spending/inflation theories of Dr Cullen, 2ndBest. i.e. if X dollars are not taken from the taxpayer in the first place, then the taxpayer will spend X dollars and thus increase inflation by doing this. Surely you don't believe that if the Govt spends this money instead (i.e. No tax cut of X dollars) that the Govt spending is somehow immune from inflation?

How can you explain the high inflation over the last few years? Yes, world conditions have contributed some, commodity prices etc. pumping cash into the economy but Labour's spending (Govt spending) has also contributed to this.

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
WillyB wrote:
The main thing is John Key can't offer much more without putting the country into deficit. Tax cuts seem to be his only talking point, and many of the things in his rebuttal he talked about eg giving high speed internet to the country had already been outlined in labours budget! What he said about us all being better off under him just doesn't seem so true anymore.


I think you'll find John Key can and will offer more WillyB. What National are doing policy-wise is very smart and well worth any kind of "negative" press about National not having any policy just yet - they're keeping their cards close to their chest. They did it last election and it almost won them an election they had no right to win (i.e. strong economic climate, stable Labour government more-or-less, lots of unproven new blood, Brash was a polarizing figure) Had it not been for a few poorly judged meetings with some Brethrens (and other smaller gaffes) it would almost certainly have been National in power in 2005.

Having said my last couple of comments and all, it's nice to see a little bit of politics on the forum and some robust debate. I have to be friendly though the right side of the spectrum is looking a bit lonely at the moment <tumble weed>

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
[QUOTE=wilso] I have to be friendly though the right side of the spectrum is looking a bit lonely at the moment [/QUOTE
 
I'll keep you company wilso.
 
Despite the current and certain future focus on tax cuts in the media this election won't end up being about tax.
 
The difference between left and right (i.e. Labour and National) is the role they believe the state should have in your lives. Labour believes the state should provide a far greater range of services than National believes the state should provide - e.g. Labour believes health, education, infrastructure etc should be primarily owned and operated by the state. National believe in meaningful choice e.g. more private hospitals, freedom to choose your schools, public / private sector provision of infrastructure. From the social policy perspective the difference in the views is Labour thinks the state knows best (e.g. how to bring up your children) whereas National believes in greater individual freedom and responsibility.
 
Once you understand these different perspectives you can then understand why Labour has such an insatiable thirst for tax (needed to fund the state apparatus) and National can commit to lower taxes i.e. they will let you keep more of your money and trust that you can choose wisely how to spend it.
 
Personally I think the state in NZ has become far to instrusive in our lives and our growing culture of entitlement and lack of personal accountability (i.e. opportunity) is slowly but surely sucking the life force out of NZ.
 
The evidence is plentiful; tens of thousands of NZs going to Australia, our OECD ranking has plummited to about 3rd to bottom, our prisons are filling up faster than we can build them, significant numbers of kids are finishing school with abysmal literacy and numeracy skills, our hospitals are disfuctional black holes for billions of $s ......
 
It's not about tax - it's about freedom and individual choice.
He dribbles a lot and the opposition dont like it - you can see it all over their faces. (Ron Atkinson)
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
The question is are we wise spenders of money as a nation? With all the hire purchase etc we do it makes me wonder.  I can't help thinking with a much less government subsidized education system , and therefore less tax, we'd be complaining about the costs involved with sending children to school, despite having extra money. Apply this to healthcare, etc.
I'd be happier if the government owned Telecom, maybe perhaps then we'd not have some of the most expensive mobile phone rates in the world. Really I think the government has got the right idea with most things, just a question of whether some of the things are as well run as they should be (and really the education and health sectors aren't). This is where the debate comes in.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

(punk-  I had a great lucid comment there- I accidently went back on the browser trying to find a link and lost it all! grr this is an attempted recovery from my short term memory)

I sort of said -

There's a clever cookie floating around with a right wing bent on this forum called petermcc.

I sometimes go Roy Keaneo on politics, apologies, but since they bumped me up front to striking for some unknown reason its quietened down a bit.

Despite the hideous profits being made by the banking industry there is no market entry from a private New Zealand owned bank.

Why?

Sometimes we need the government to create entities like the kiwibank because we aren't able  to do so individually.

The key people to the current government arrangement: Helen Clark and Michael Cullen, Winston Peters, Peter Dunne, the Greens and Jim Anderton quietly working away all care about New Zealand. Like, as a country.

They are all true pragmatic nationalists. Proud of our country and the values it has held over the last 150 years, aware of the current international environment and trying to do the best for our country.

It would be economical rational for us to be owned and operated by richer and more powerful folk from overseas.

National would have voted for the MAI (I think it was called) and helped to hasten this process when it was last in government.

If you want a largely privatised health system, and an education system like Australia's where middle class parents (over and above their supposedly insignificant tax payments) feel they have to pay thousands a year in private education fees for a good education, then yes the right wing philosophy is for you.

I think the majority of whityby's post is angst shared by many in Australia and other nations, partially inflamed by a bored media.

I'll give you an example in this post below of excellent results in literacy from December last year- "Again, our students are amongst the very best in the world in reading. Only Hong Kong, Finland and Korea achieved higher average scores"

http://www.publicaddress.net/default,4674.sm#post4674

Our contributions keep New Zealand going. The evil sounding 'state apparatus' are things we use everyday, or may need when the going gets rough- healthcare, ACC, superannuation, the police and so on.

If we significantly decrease our contributions through taxation we still pay through user pays. Not necessarily a cheaper option. And many in our society miss out.



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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I think there is plenty of room for tax cuts.  A quick look at the Treasury website says the Govt took $41.7billion in budget 03/04 and now want to swipe $61.9  billion in 08/09.  That's an extra $20 billion, nearly 50% more when inflation was around 15% over the last five years.  This puts extraordinary pressure on interest rates, in a smallish economy like NZ.
Government departments are overstocked right now and its hard to find people for the commercial sector.
The other bit that worries me is that there are still around 300,000 on full time benefit.  We need as many people to be as productive as possible if we are going to lift wages.  That's a huge drain.
My pick, an across the board 6% tax cut from the Nats.  To quote a certain leader from the last budget "they're gone."
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Even with that kind of surplus giving us the tax cuts most want ie $100+ per week is going to cost something in the range of $15bil a year to maintain, you say theres $60bil to play with, if the Nats spend $15bil a year just on tax cuts and try to imporve helth and education etc that surplsu wont last long!

Queenslander 3x a year.

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
martinb wrote:

Winston Peters .... care about New Zealand.
[/QUOTE]
 
The only thing Winstone Peters cares about is Winstone Peters
 
martinb wrote:

If you want a largely privatised health system, and an education system like Australia's where middle class parents ..... feel they have to pay thousands a year in private education fees for a good education
 
I do that now (pay for my kids to get a decent education) - in New Zealand
 
[QUOTE=martinb]
If we significantly decrease our contributions through taxation we still pay through user pays. Not necessarily a cheaper option.
 
Yes but we have freedom to make our own choices.
 
For an economy to grow it needs people with the freedom and incentives to work hard and take risks - if those people (people who want to get ahead) can't find that environment in NZ they go elsewhere i.e. Australia.
 
The mistake many are making with the tax argument is assuming every $ given back to tax payers through a tax reduction is a $ lost to the government. There is plenty of evidence that overall tax take can actually grow as people invest the $s they have been given back and economic activity expands.
 
Dear socialists ask yourself this - when all the filthy capitalists have gone to Australia who will pay the taxes to fund your socialist utopia ?
 
He dribbles a lot and the opposition dont like it - you can see it all over their faces. (Ron Atkinson)
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Whitby boy wrote:
martinb wrote:

Winston Peters .... care about New Zealand.
[/QUOTE]
 
The only thing Winstone Peters cares about is Winstone Peters
 
martinb wrote:

If you want a largely privatised health system, and an education system like Australia's where middle class parents ..... feel they have to pay thousands a year in private education fees for a good education
 
I do that now (pay for my kids to get a decent education) - in New Zealand
 
[QUOTE=martinb]
If we significantly decrease our contributions through taxation we still pay through user pays. Not necessarily a cheaper option.
 
Yes but we have freedom to make our own choices.
 
For an economy to grow it needs people with the freedom and incentives to work hard and take risks - if those people (people who want to get ahead) can't find that environment in NZ they go elsewhere i.e. Australia.
 
The mistake many are making with the tax argument is assuming every $ given back to tax payers through a tax reduction is a $ lost to the government. There is plenty of evidence that overall tax take can actually grow as people invest the $s they have been given back and economic activity expands.
 
Dear socialists ask yourself this - when all the filthy capitalists have gone to Australia who will pay the taxes to fund your socialist utopia ?
 



Ahhh so we are not going to play nice.

I agree winston looks after number one...but he has been consistent in his nationalist outlook- looking after oldies, restricting immigration, raising the minimum wage etcetc...a pre 1984 nationalist view...

I think it is sad that you feel you have to pay for a private education for your children to get a decent education.

In Australia the Howard government was funding private schools more than he was funding public schools (have to check this, but fairly confident). I think this is disgusting.

I personally think education at high school level should be free to all. It necessary for a functioning democracy as well as creating a more equal society, with fewer people made outcasts by lack of educational chances. It gives those who do have the drive to suceed the opportunity to do so.

I don't think this government is hugely socialist. If strong New Zealanders would run our infrastructure- our airline, our railways, our public transport, our banks... I'm sure they would not object, it's just that this has not happened. It is possible that with our market size they may not all be attractive commercial propositions, and that there is a strong public good in ensuring they survive.

ACC, health, education these things are very much public goods and our motivation for having them is not about turning a dollar. Though it must be said the cost of insurance in Australia and other litigious states without ACC is quite high, and corporations are liable to find themselves being sued- as was the case in New Zealand before the legislation was introduced.

I agree tax cuts can lead to mom and pop investment, but mostly in the past it has increased consumer spending. The New Zealand stock market has had difficulty in creating this kind of investment culture, in the land where property has been so attractive.

I have to ask though when there are 9 so called 'socialist' governments in Australia how is it that you can assume that it is the capitalist barons who are leaving?

Maybe they like the public transport over there that means it is not essential to own a car or run one quite as frequently around the main cities...

plus dude they got snakes, spiders and Sydney F.C. We got the phoenix and the NZ cricket team...!


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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Whitby boy wrote:
martinb wrote:

Winston Peters .... care about New Zealand.
[/QUOTE]
 
The only thing Winstone Peters cares about is Winstone Peters
 
martinb wrote:

If you want a largely privatised health system, and an education system like Australia's where middle class parents ..... feel they have to pay thousands a year in private education fees for a good education
 
I do that now (pay for my kids to get a decent education) - in New Zealand
 
[QUOTE=martinb]
If we significantly decrease our contributions through taxation we still pay through user pays. Not necessarily a cheaper option.
 
Yes but we have freedom to make our own choices.
 
For an economy to grow it needs people with the freedom and incentives to work hard and take risks - if those people (people who want to get ahead) can't find that environment in NZ they go elsewhere i.e. Australia.
 
The mistake many are making with the tax argument is assuming every $ given back to tax payers through a tax reduction is a $ lost to the government. There is plenty of evidence that overall tax take can actually grow as people invest the $s they have been given back and economic activity expands.
 
Dear socialists ask yourself this - when all the filthy capitalists have gone to Australia who will pay the taxes to fund your socialist utopia ?
 


invest the money?! now there's a social utopia...don't we spend $1.10 to every $1 we earn? not exactly investing...
I like tautologies because I like them.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Exactly what I meant by the crap spending habits of this country...investing on a mass scale is highly unlikely.

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
The Nats don't have to cut anything, simply take the foot off the accelerator. Spending is up 8% this year alone.
The choice is between that $15 billion going into govt consumption or into productive sectors that lift NZ's earnings and wages.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Vote labour back in and see how Cullen deals with the Railways and the Tax cuts. It's almost like he's conceded he'l be out of office and is making it messy for his replacement. So vote him back in to clean it up.
 
Rather than buy back railways, i would have preferred the govt to buy back the electricity industry and help stop us all getting mugged by foreign ownership in that field.
Proud to have attended the first 175 Consecutive "Home" Wellington Phoenix "A League" Games !!

The Ruf, The Ruf, The Ruf is on Fire!!

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
wilso wrote:
Admittedly "huge" tax cuts will never be a good idea, everything in moderation etc. But I get the feeling that you subscribe to the spending/inflation theories of Dr Cullen, 2ndBest. i.e. if X dollars are not taken from the taxpayer in the first place, then the taxpayer will spend X dollars and thus increase inflation by doing this. Surely you don't believe that if the Govt spends this money instead (i.e. No tax cut of X dollars) that the Govt spending is somehow immune from inflation?

How can you explain the high inflation over the last few years? Yes, world conditions have contributed some, commodity prices etc. pumping cash into the economy but Labour's spending (Govt spending) has also contributed to this.
 
I would say that they have contributed more than some. 
 
The problem with tax cuts is that people go out and generally spend it on consumer items such a TV, DVD palyers etc.  So this new income that everyone has is sent and lost straight overseas. 
 
However with govt money is spent within NZ, and kept here for a lot longer.  I think most people will agree that it is better to spend money here rather than a japanese company.
 
Yer both forms have inflationary pressures but a final point.  Govt spending needs to increase year after year for a number of reasons.
a) Population is growing and so more service are required.
b) Inflation: so more money is needed to be spent the next year just to buy the same quantity of good as the previous year.
c) THe need to increase salaries of teacher/doctors/nurses etc.
 
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
edward l wrote:
I think there is plenty of room for tax cuts.  A quick look at the Treasury website says the Govt took $41.7billion in budget 03/04 and now want to swipe $61.9  billion in 08/09.  That's an extra $20 billion, nearly 50% more when inflation was around 15% over the last five years.  This puts extraordinary pressure on interest rates, in a smallish economy like NZ.
Government departments are overstocked right now and its hard to find people for the commercial sector.
The other bit that worries me is that there are still around 300,000 on full time benefit.  We need as many people to be as productive as possible if we are going to lift wages.  That's a huge drain.
My pick, an across the board 6% tax cut from the Nats.  To quote a certain leader from the last budget "they're gone."
 
Most of these are on a sickness beneift because of poor health.  Cut taxes+cut health care and you'll see a lot more people on this beenfit (and others).  Like in the 1990's when the Nat where in govt.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Lonegunmen wrote:
Vote labour back in and see how Cullen deals with the Railways and the Tax cuts. It's almost like he's conceded he'l be out of office and is making it messy for his replacement. So vote him back in to clean it up.
 
Rather than buy back railways, i would have preferred the govt to buy back the electricity industry and help stop us all getting mugged by foreign ownership in that field.
 
Perhap a certian party shouldn't have sold it in the first place.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
"Mad Dog" Prebble along with the worlds first ever Capitalist Socialist Roger Douglas?? 
Proud to have attended the first 175 Consecutive "Home" Wellington Phoenix "A League" Games !!

The Ruf, The Ruf, The Ruf is on Fire!!

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
300,000 fulltime beneficiaries shows what a lie 'full employment ' is. Its pretty disgraceful and not something to be proud of. And after 9 years you can't say its a result of underspending on health or tax cuts.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
martinb wrote:

I think it is sad that you feel you have to pay for a private education for your children to get a decent education.
 
It's not a feeling it's a fact - check out the relative educational peformance rankings of private, semi private and public schools.
 
I can tell you there are plenty of parents, from all walks of life, who are both working and making hard sacrifices so their kids can get a decent education. 
 
You'd feel a hell of lot sader if you had to write the cheque.
 
P.S. The latest budget has a projected government tax revenue of $56b, when this lot came into power in 1999 the governments tax revenue was $34b. Seen any benefits from the 65% increase in government tax revenue ? I guess the million NZers who feel they need private health insurance and the 75,000 NZers who left the country last year would probably answer no.
 
Whitby boy2008-05-25 16:08:05
He dribbles a lot and the opposition dont like it - you can see it all over their faces. (Ron Atkinson)
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
edward l wrote:
300,000 fulltime beneficiaries shows what a lie 'full employment ' is. Its pretty disgraceful and not something to be proud of. And after 9 years you can't say its a result of underspending on health or tax cuts.
 
Anyone whom works more than 1 hour part time is included in the fulltime employment stats. God knows how that figures other than fudging the stats.
 
The users on this site come out with better ideas on how to run this country than the 120 in there.
Proud to have attended the first 175 Consecutive "Home" Wellington Phoenix "A League" Games !!

The Ruf, The Ruf, The Ruf is on Fire!!

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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Food for thought , if the government slowed its spending growth to match inflation, there would be enough for a $46 a week tax cut for the average punter.
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almost 18 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Lonegunmen wrote:
"Mad Dog" Prebble along with the worlds first ever Capitalist Socialist Roger Douglas?? 
 
God knows how he got a knighthood.  He completly f%^ked a nation with the effects still lasting today
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