progeny wrote:
PAX has been disproven as an accurate crowd-anticipating measure several times over the course of SFC's 5yr history.It's a VERY rough guide at best. That's not to say the Nix aren't doing well (I've no doubt it's going immense), but you shouldn't be fooled in to thinking that 24k PAX = 24k sold. That's been disproven many times.
Oh yeah? What's their margin of error?
Apparently Adelaide got a pax of over 14k for the game and the attendance was 8k or so.
Aight, so that either means the lowest number isn't #1, or there's a ratio of tickets per number of pax.
Theoretically 14k PAX: 8k tickets means they start at 6k (then we're at 19k) or its 1.75:1 ratio, (then we're on 14k).
Unless it's something stats can't be used to explain (like 99% of systems humans make up).