It's the best way to be wrong though.
I'm always too optimistic so when I am wrong it's gutting. At least being a bit pessimistic and then it goes well means that you're wrong but your team is good.
No idea if the Waine thing was Talay being a strategic genius or total luck. But I'll take it either way. You do have to figure that a young player like Waine always had Europe on the cards though.