Wellington Phoenix Men

Keeper Angst V1.08

167 replies · 1,496 views
over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Put it this way. According to you,if Paston had played for upper hutt city vs Manchester united and conceded 50 goals,while Crowther had played on the weekend and conceded 4...that makes Crowther 12 times a better keeper than Paston.
Im not disagreeing with you,im just lol'ing at your way of trying to prove it statisticallyTegal2009-11-30 23:31:01

Allegedly

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Tegal wrote:
Put it this way. According to you,if Paston had played for upper hutt city vs Manchester united and conceded 50 goals,while Crowther had played on the weekend and conceded 4...that makes Crowther 12 times a better keeper than Paston.

Im not disagreeing with you,im just lol'ing at your way of trying to prove it statistically
No but these statistics are taken by players in the same league so the standard against them is the same. ManU and Brisbane have a huge gap between them. Brisbane and CCM do not.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Sigh,i knew you would make me do work. So for now ill settle with...If van der sar (or insert some other world class keepers name here) had played for us on the weekend (as a guest player for the week) and conceded 4 would you say Paston was the better keeper?
 
my extreme examples are just to indicate to you the obvious,that goals conceded are not the ultimate indicator on the ability of a keeper. You yourself used this same argument in earlier seasons in saying Paston was better than Moss,when Paston was conceding more goals. I find it interesting you are now going back on this.
 
Paston is clearly our number one keeper though.
Tegal2009-11-30 23:38:05

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I know what you mean but that would be a one off game and Van Der Sar would not concede 4. He just wouldn't in that game. Maybe 1 or 2.

I did not use this example in earlier seasons, Paston conceded less goals in less games but lets not start that up again...
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Haha had Van der sar conceded 2,he would on average be a worse keeper than Paston according to you with 2 goals a game and 0 points won
 
Other factors contribute to goals conceded,the quality of the defence in front of him,in fact of the whole team in front of him. So to use that stat as any kind of indicator to a keepers ability is a bit wacko. Thats all im saying.

Allegedly

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

I did not use this example in earlier seasons, Paston conceded less goals in less games but lets not start that up again...


Back that up.. I'd be interested. He is clearly the best keeper for us but seriously your stats are pretty ridiculous. It doesn't take into account who we played, or how many goals we scored in those games, as well as saves made and shots on target etc. Just plenty of things that make them unreliable.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Here is some statistics:

Paston 12 Goals conceded in 12 games. 1 goal per game. 3 Wins, 7 Draws, 2 Losses. 1.58 points per game.

Crowther 7 Goals conceded in 4 games. 1.75 goals per game. 1 Win, 1 Draw, 2 Losses. 1 Point per games.

Quite clearly shows Pastons is far better for the team and his presence and organisational skills are worth .58 points per game more then Crowther which is HUGE.


Stats mean far less in football compared to in other sports (say cricket).

There could be any reason for the above.  We could have played with 4 blind defenders when Crowther conceded but that type of stat wouldn't reveal it.

Having said all that, I shall continue to use stats when they suit me.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I could not care less if I cop a ban for this.

wellyphoenixfan, on behalf of all goalkeepers, you are a f**king idiot.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Here is some statistics:

Paston 12 Goals conceded in 12 games. 1 goal per game. 3 Wins, 7 Draws, 2 Losses. 1.58 points per game.

Crowther 7 Goals conceded in 4 games. 1.75 goals per game. 1 Win, 1 Draw, 2 Losses. 1 Point per games.

Quite clearly shows Pastons is far better for the team and his presence and organisational skills are worth .58 points per game more then Crowther which is HUGE.


Without wanting to go too deep back into stats land, I cut the numbers as follows:

With Paston in goal (12 data points), WPX get 53% of their maximum points, with a margin of error of 14%.
With Crowther in goal (4 data points), WPX get 33% of their maximum points, with a margin of error of 24%.

There is some probability that you're right, but it's not clear-cut.

(edit:  This kind of thing is why statisticians don't have to say silly things about hypothetical one-match stints by Casillas and the like.)
Stripes2009-12-01 00:41:03
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Can we please not go down this road again...
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
el grapadura wrote:
Can we please not go down this road again...
 
Agreed. It's deja vu. All over again

Apparently I'm apathetic, but I couldn't care less.

"Being a Partick Thistle fan sets you apart. It means youre a free thinker. It also means your team has no money." Tim Luckhurst, The Independent, 4th December 2003

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
There are 10-9 other players who should not have put any keeper under this pressure. Where are all the threads about the other performances.

    THE KEEPER IS THE LEAST RESPONSIBLE!
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

A goalkeeper is mearly the first line of attack. The strikers are the first line of defence. I say blame Greenacre and Ifil for us conceeding 4

Its no longer a problem.

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Some light hearted relief courtesy of Chant Legend Jess Korey-Slow:
 
He saved the goals out in Bahrain, Paston Paston.
When they came here he did it again, Paston Paston.
Moss left the Nix, he turned his back.
And now he's out to Langerak.
Marky Paston, Phoenix number one.
 

Incredible stamina. No shame. Yellow Fever.

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Needs more Bannatyne!!!

"Ive just re-visited this and once again realised that C-Diddy is a genius - a drunk, Newcastle bred disgrace - but a genius." - Hard News, 11:39am 4th June 2009

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Smithy wrote:
Some light hearted relief courtesy of Chant Legend Jess Korey-Slow:
�

He saved the goals out in Bahrain, Paston Paston.

When they came here he did it again, Paston Paston.

Moss left the Nix, he turned his back.

And now he's out to Langerak.

Marky Paston, Phoenix number one.

�


Superb.

Will have to do a rendition of it on Friday night if Paston's playing.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Toffeeman wrote:

A goalkeeper is mearly the first line of attack. The strikers are the first line of defence. I say blame Greenacre and Ifil for us conceeding 4

 
Spoken like a true keeper.
 
By the way if you're the first line of attack it's quite a wide line...

Incredible stamina. No shame. Yellow Fever.

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Smithy wrote:
Toffeeman wrote:

A goalkeeper is mearly the first line of attack. The strikers are the first line of defence. I say blame Greenacre and Ifil for us conceeding 4

 
Spoken like a true keeper.
 
By the way if you're the first line of attack it's quite a wide line...
Wow, no-ones ever called me a true keeper before

Its no longer a problem.

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Smithy wrote:
Some light hearted relief courtesy of Chant Legend Jess Korey-Slow:
 
He saved the goals out in Bahrain, Paston Paston.
When they came here he did it again, Paston Paston.
Moss left the Nix, he turned his back.
And now he's out to Langerak.
Marky Paston, Phoenix number one.
 
 
 
Brilliant.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Yes Paston is better. Obviously. But dont blame soley crowther for goals conceded. His defence on Sunday was atrocious
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
threat wrote:
But dont blame soley crowther for goals conceded. His defence on Sunday was atrocious


Because Paston organises...erm, I'll stop there.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Two of Crowther's games were away against Sydney, that's not easy and he wasn't too bad in one of them.
No good last game, but who was?

Thread got better when it changed to sundaes
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Crap thread.

He's the reserve keeper ffs. He's not supposed to be awesome.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Those sundaes looked great.  The beer was going down very well for a Sunday at 9pm.  Working weekends'll do it to you though.

14/11/09

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I think in the A-League it doesn't matter who you play as all teams have the possiblity to put quite a few goals against you. Our defence has practically been the same all season except when McKain slotted in but he doesn't drop the level there. This comparison wouldn't work between keepers at different clubs as the defenders are different, midfielders are different etc. At the Phoenix it is relatively them same.

My point is goals conceded is the best stat you can use to justify how good a keeper is. I know there are plenty of reasons why or why not a keeper conceded the amount of goals they did but both keepers face relatively the same circumstances so I think it is a fair comparison. Of course you have to have a bigger sample than one game.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
u could also that crowther conceded 7 of his goals against sydney and brisbane. two of our worst performances as a team collectivly
crowthers still pants though hope pastons fit

rojas, so special

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
For those saying how as a whole we were useless, that is correct.  But Crowther was probably the worst of a bad bunch.  Slipping on the way out to shutting down the angle against van Dick.  I know slippages happen but why must he slip at that crucial time?  Why not on his way off the field.  That'd be a laugh at least.

The (fourth?) goal, the one that went through his legs he should have ran out to narrow the angle.  Instead he stood there, looking like a jerk.  Maybe he was worried that if he ran out Dodd could cut it back to someone who could knock it in, but we all know Dodd is useless so that's a fail as far as I'm concerned.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I'm gonna put it out there that that he isn't as bad as people seem to be trying to prove. First goal- good reflex save, but average parry. take a top keeper to have held it though.

Second goal, he slipped, tough, could have done better, but slips a slip.
 
Free kick- Pasty wasn't about to save that.
 
Fourth goal- David Dodd is so sh*t that I think he miss-hit it, trying to go around the keeps he shanked it and put it through his leg. This is the only way David Dodd could ever have scored a goal. Ever. Plus, how the hell does David Dodd manage to get through the defence in the first place? He's a bit sh*t. If I hadn't mentioned that already.
 
Crowther's biggest stuff up in the game was when he flapped at the cross, that (Lochy?) managed to put out for a corner. None of the goals were worth starting an angsty thread over.
 
Be thankful we don't have Higgins as our reserve keeps.
 
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
bigtobz wrote:
I'm gonna put it out there that that he isn't as bad as people seem to be trying to prove. First goal- good reflex save, but average parry. take a top keeper to have held it though.

Second goal, he slipped, tough, could have done better, but slips a slip.
 
Free kick- Pasty wasn't about to save that.
 
Fourth goal- David Dodd is so sh*t that I think he miss-hit it, trying to go around the keeps he shanked it and put it through his leg. This is the only way David Dodd could ever have scored a goal. Ever. Plus, how the hell does David Dodd manage to get through the defence in the first place? He's a bit sh*t. If I hadn't mentioned that already.
 
Crowther's biggest stuff up in the game was when he flapped at the cross, that (Lochy?) managed to put out for a corner. None of the goals were worth starting an angsty thread over.
 
Be thankful we don't have Higgins as our reserve keeps.
 
 
I thought that was going to be our first OG for the season.  Lochy looked so resigned I thought he'd realised it was going in
 
Generally agree with your comment. 
 
E.g someone said he didn't run out when Dodd scored.  He did, and closed the angle to the point where the only place Dodd could get the goal was through the pins. Which is just what happened.  Last I heard, Paston, Van Der Sar and even Buffon have two separate legs.  If they didn't, they'd find mobility pretty awkward. Nutmegs happen.
 
Someone else said that the free kick was just about the middle of the net. It wasn't, unless you're talking about its hieght.
 
Lost of general rubbish being spouted here, but this seems to happen after a loss - all the people who don't like [player] will come out and point out every transgression, real or otherwise, that they think they spotted.

14/11/09

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Goal 1 - soft had to try to hold that
Goal 2 - aim to make yourself big he managed with the slip to be as small as possible, unfortunate but co-ordination does seem to be a problem with him
Goal 3 - Should have clear sight of shot and that was his side to cover, never even got near it
Goal 4 - totally exposed by defence

Should he be happy with that display? No Should you expect better from a back-up keeper? Yes

Not beating up on him he was simply poor, not alone on that score though.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Hes got all the physical features but he just seems dumb.
He looks really unco and whats up with the stuff(i think its tape)around his ankles and wrists.looks wierd.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
tomrewi wrote:
Hes got all the physical features but he just seems dumb.
He looks really unco and whats up with the stuff(i think its tape)around his ankles and wrists.looks wierd.


I think he just isn't very Photogenic myself.


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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
The free kick annoyed me because the commentators had a big ole wank over it when from that angle if you don't hit the side netting it should be a save.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
hes sure got a boot on him though. Hoofs it further than paston. Doesnt make up for his other problems though. Neil young at newcastle looks ok and might get the boot when kennedy comes back?

rojas, so special

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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
I think in the A-League it doesn't matter who you play as all teams have the possiblity to put quite a few goals against you. Our defence has practically been the same all season except when McKain slotted in but he doesn't drop the level there. This comparison wouldn't work between keepers at different clubs as the defenders are different, midfielders are different etc. At the Phoenix it is relatively them same.

My point is goals conceded is the best stat you can use to justify how good a keeper is. I know there are plenty of reasons why or why not a keeper conceded the amount of goals they did but both keepers face relatively the same circumstances so I think it is a fair comparison. Of course you have to have a bigger sample than one game.


Bollocks, bollocks, bollocks and more bollocks. f**k me, what a load of bollocks.

Ben Foster playing for Watford during the 2006/2007 season, Watford come 20th in the English Premier League and get relegated, yet Ben Foster wins both the Fans' and Club Player of the Year Award.
DKP222009-12-01 20:38:37
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Hmmm... goals conceded is the best stat?

Another one of WPF's stupid statements.

What do you mean both keepers face the same circumstances?
If you mean that they both stay in their goal box and wear gloves. you are right.

Back up all the statements you made in that.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago

My point is goals conceded is the best stat you can use to justify how good a keeper is. I know there are plenty of reasons why or why not a keeper conceded the amount of goals they did but both keepers face relatively the same circumstances so I think it is a fair comparison. Of course you have to have a bigger sample than one game.


Epic fail.  Football is not a sport where stats can explain performance/quality.  Cricket and baseball yes.  But Football.  Not a chance.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Stefan wrote:
Hmmm... goals conceded is the best stat?

Another one of WPF's stupid statements.

What do you mean both keepers face the same circumstances?
If you mean that they both stay in their goal box and wear gloves. you are right.

Back up all the statements you made in that.


Please delete that out of your initial comment before WPF reads that as I do suspect he will try to back all his statements up and that will enrage me so.
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over 16 years ago · edited over 13 years ago
Good point, but it will bring lolz for me at work tomorrow when I am bored.
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