By my calculations (please correct me if I'm wrong):
If we lose to SUI, we miss the R16.
If we beat SUI, we make the R16
If we draw vs SUI, things depend on the Norway vs PHL match.
For the Norway vs PHL match (if we draw vs SUI):
Draw, we would qualify over PHL on better GD
PHL win by 2 goals+, we miss the R16
PHL win by 1 goal, it will comes down to GF (If GF is equal PHL qualify based on 'points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned')
Norway win by 2 goals+, we miss the R16.
Norway win by 1 goal, it will come down to GF (If GF is equal we qualify based on 'points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned')
The GF means that if Norway or PHL are to win by a single goal, ideally it is 1-0, not 3-2, etc. Likewise a higher scoring draw is better for us in this tie breaker scenario.
I think most likely though is that Norway will win by more than 1 goal vs PHL and we need to beat SUI!
If we lose to SUI, we miss the R16.
If we beat SUI, we make the R16
If we draw vs SUI, things depend on the Norway vs PHL match.
For the Norway vs PHL match (if we draw vs SUI):
Draw, we would qualify over PHL on better GD
PHL win by 2 goals+, we miss the R16
PHL win by 1 goal, it will comes down to GF (If GF is equal PHL qualify based on 'points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned')
Norway win by 2 goals+, we miss the R16.
Norway win by 1 goal, it will come down to GF (If GF is equal we qualify based on 'points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned')
The GF means that if Norway or PHL are to win by a single goal, ideally it is 1-0, not 3-2, etc. Likewise a higher scoring draw is better for us in this tie breaker scenario.
I think most likely though is that Norway will win by more than 1 goal vs PHL and we need to beat SUI!
Yeah, I'm an idiot they would then be on 6 points to our 4. I have edited my comment now.
