Nobody has posted on our lonely Cap 1 thread for ages, so ...
Naenae pretty much has the league wrapped up. Automatic promotion in the bag (save absolute blow out) and much deserved too (their GD is miles better than anyone elses). If they get their Scousers back next year they will be a more than handy side in CPL.
Second is still a tight contest. While North Welly have the points in the bag they have a much tougher run home than Olympic reserves. North Welly still have Naenae to play and maybe Stokes Valley, who are pretty random but good on their day. Olympic has played all the top few sides twice and will also have the luxury of dropping players down from 1st team. Further, while NW are a good, well organised, gutsy side, they dont score a lot of goals and they could quite conceivably drop points against any side. THus far they have got tremendous value for their goals. They havent wasted many.
BNU still has remote chance of picking up second, but it would require both North Welly and Olympic too fall over - and we would need to win, win, win.
Much may depend on at what point North Welly end up playing Naenae. If they have to play them in next couple of weeks whle the league is yet in the bag, and while all the scousers are still on deck, they will struggle and leave door open for olympic. if that game gets pushed to the end of the season, it may be a very different affair.
My money is on Naenae to go up automatically, and Olympic Reserves to finish second but lose a play off against Lower Hutt's "Reserves".